There is land at the edge of the American Sphere, one with which many Americans hold cultural connections. Thus, America has asserted itself as the protector of as a result. However, this large landmass has entered a sense of entropy, as the assertive American Empire has taken up more and more power in relation to this area, becoming the main fighting force and militaristic arm of this region. This describes two areas in two separate times, Latin America following the end of the American Civil War up until the end of the Cold War and Modern Europe. In this special less Aridoamerican Article, we will be discussing the state of Europe and how its power relations with America closely mirror Latin America’s for the late 19th and 20th Centuries and the potential implications this has for Europe.
In multiple centuries (assuming we aren’t in a dark age, which it will be a millennium), historians will look at the Truman Doctrine as being as socially disastrous for Europe as the Monroe Doctrine was for Latin America. At the same time, the Monroe Doctrine before the Civil War was just a piece of paper made by Americans sympathetic to Latin America’s revolutions, with the French invading Mexico to install Maximilian I during the Civil War. During the aftermath of the Civil War, we saw the US, usually guided by noble enlightenment-based intentions asserting itself as a protector of this particular landmass, giving the US a particular sense of honorable duty. The US largely rose to global power through its “Protection of Latin America” motto which it used as a means of repelling European influence from the New World, guided mainly by the sense of the Latin American countries being fellow revolutionary republics who split off from their European Colonizers. America used this foreign policy base to broker a deal for the Independence of Venezuela. In 1890, America also wielded its power to create a Pan-American Union used to create a treaty compact which allowed New World countries to negotiate disputes, its descendent organization is still very much around today in the Organization of the Americas. This sense of protecting the Americas came to a head in 1898, when the US launched the Spanish-American war, officially jettisoning the Spanish Crown from the New World. America of this age was the ruler of Latin America in the eyes of the world, the Great Power of the Americas.
Americans of this time viewed the US as a separate civilization from Europe, guided by democracy and republicanism rather than the monarchies and old-world squabbles of Europe. Ironically, many of the aspects associated with modern Europe are fundamentally American in creation. While America certainly had cultural ties to Britain, it was much more guided by dominance over the New World realm of this era. However, after the end of the Spanish-American War, American dominance began to go from this older, more noble intention to how normal empires are; Increasingly rapacious. This began with the Roosevelt Corollary which switched European debt over Latin American countries with American debt to keep Europe out of the New World. During this time as well, due to a mix of geographic stability and American Protection, Latin American militaries decayed and their borders remained stagnant. However, the sphere also allowed for places like Argentina to come close to rivaling the US as a European Diaspora powerhouse in the New World. However, the US intervention in Latin America increasingly made said places targets for American Tycoons who increasingly bought out the local governments. As was also seen with Haiti in 1915, failure to pay off the debt caused by the Roosevelt Corollary caused the US Marines to sack Haiti’s bank of its gold reserves Gothic Style. The only country during this time to successfully repel this American Encroachment was Mexico due to a shared border and the impassable nature of the great desert expanse. However, for the rest of Latin America, during WWI America signed up multiple Latin American countries as the Entente.
There was a time after this mainly during the Great Depression when FDR, decided to show a good neighbor policy that focused on improving the rapacious reputation of earlier America’s encroachments. However, as the WWII ended the Soviets began attempting to enter the new world through the backing of rebels, such as Cuba which was originally an American seized occupation. However, during this time, the power the US had over Latin America grew so great that the US was able to launch coup after coup and usurp Latin America into being in the American Sphere. So to summarize. The US was a moralist-sounding entity that developed a doctrine mainly meant to protect Latin America from outside encroachment based on a largest of equals ethos causing Latin America to become geographically stable and thus their militaries to entropy; a factor accelerated by soft power and the US writing their Foreign Policy. When one looks at the carnage the US caused across Latin America during the Cold War. This is why, and it bodes horribly for Europe.
This is not a racial thing. Whether Europe gets more racially diverse or not has little factor. If it remained 100% white, the results would’ve been the same. Europe is on a trajectory very similar to Latin America now, and it started with the Marshall Plan and Truman Doctrine. This original moralist-sounding US posed itself as defending Democracy, Human Rights, and Equality against the communist menace that was the Soviet Union. Atlanticism and European Federalism are American. However, since the end of the Cold War, American Ideological power grew stronger, and Europeans offset their military burden on the US. The idea of America as the biggest of equals was predicated upon Europe having a really good military which was stellar in quality during the Cold War. However, these have since atrophied. The EU as an entity is fundamentally American and could only exist under American Hegemony, as its entire values are based upon American values of Federalism, Pluralism, Liberalism, and ossified borders. These are alien from Europe’s old self. Europe is currently aging at an unprecedented rate as well now, meaning to be free of the US, they either have to mass import lots more people to the point of making their continent as multiracial as the US or gut every single one of their welfare state institutions massively which will lead to revolutions and state failure and thus make the average person Post-Soviet poor. Even 30 years ago, Europe was an equal with the US in most metrics and was the most likely place to replace the Dollar. The idea of a federal Europe free of America is delusional, the last chance they had to sever themselves from the US was 2008. From that day on, their economic stagnation mounting crisis, and elite entropy have forced Europe into being as dependent on the US as it was during the 50s and the rubble of WWII. The Russo-Ukraine war made this dreadful reality come fully into fruition when the last leverage the EU had against the US in the form of buying cheap Russian gas finally fell.

There also isn’t much holding Europe together other than American Culture, Neoliberalism, and English Speaking. A Federal Europe that stands for Liberal Democracy, international law, and “basic human dignity” is Americanized and who can only think in American ideology. You can’t expect the French and Norwegians to work in any kind of framework of a shared mission when they spent the last millennia building up their countries separately. The only way to a more unified Europe was the path of Byzantium, where the Greek city-state traditions got leveled by Roman Culture leaving a parody of Rome that even the post-Roman Italians got sick of. When one says that America’s great strength is its allies, that is under the pretense that said allies are autonomous and competent which Europe hasn’t been since the end of the Cold War. When Trump “disrespects his allies” who are treated as sacred cattle by the chattering class, he is very cynically engaging in realpolitik. He knows the US holds extreme amounts of leverage over Europe now. When you see people like Elon Musk engaging in spats with European leaders, this is why. MAGA is not isolationist, it’s the prelude to American Caesarism. Between Europe's military entropy, aging population, cultural Americanization, increasing intermixture of various ethnic groups via their open borders, offshoring of manufacturers to the US, and resource dependencies; it seems there is one path for Europe and it’s the path Latin America took starting in 1890. The Cannibalization of Europe will play out like Rome too, where the polite Roman republic allowed it to govern itself only for it to grow incompetent and get swallowed whole.
Returning to the Aridoamerican Plane, there are potential implications for this. While Europe is becoming more Americanized, it’s becoming the older America, the America east of the 100th Meridian. Europe and the Eastern United States increasingly look foreign to the Aridoamericans in terms of culture and America’s dominance over Europe will and is accelerating this. Aridoamericans on average do hold a distant respect for Europe. However, this alienation from either the US or Europe will grow more apparent. Especially when the European migrants begin pouring into the US for their final immigration wave will likely cause the Eastern US and its satellite cities out west to resemble Western Europe, just like what happened in Rome as it got more Greek. Anglo Texans despite being of Celtic/Germanic blood are closer to Northern Mexico and Hispano-Indio traditions now in terms of culture. However, one thing is certain for politics moving forward. When Europe looks at the comments Trump is saying with very meager responses and appeasement, this is why they grovel at Trump's feet. There is no other option, if there were, the Europeans would’ve done it. They split themselves off from Russia religiously backing Ukraine and integrating anti-Russian Eastern European countries and the Chinese still distinctly remember how Europe humiliated them, a very recent memory for such an old civilization state. Europe is the new Latin America, governed by a semi-moral universalist doctrine from the Americans that decays into the US viewing it as its sandbox. If Latin America is America’s backyard, Europe is officially its lakeside property.
Update January 14, 2025
The Tik Tok ban has proven a fascinating social experiment. Recently, due to the ban, many Americans fled to a Chinese Social media app called 小红书 (Little Red Book). Americans angry with the governmental regulations decided to flock from Tik Tok to a truly Chinese app in order to spite the government’s decision and similar formats. Normally, this would be a symbol to the rebellious spirit of Americans, however it provides us with a rare glimpse into the true nature of Modern Europeans and the modern Western world. Canada, Australia, the UK, and the EU currently do not have a Tik Tok ban, and realistically probably are free to use it as long as their local governments allowed it. A European who states that he longs for a split from the US, who claims to have American fatigue and who wants Europe to be just European and for Euros to have their own spaces would certainly be overjoyed with Americans leaving Tik Tok. Nope. What the Europeans did (many of which are young and who would be the ones to carry out this great European split) also packed up shop and went to 小红书, despite having all of the agency to stay on Tik Tok. They and Latinos who also flocked to 小红书, couldn’t bear to not share a room or digital space with Americans. If they cannot even sever their minds from American spaces and Americans, they have zero chances of severing from the American Polity before the US itself collapses.
Endnote to Reader:
-All of this applies to Canada too. Canada only existed because America used to be scared of the British. Justin Trudeau saying to Trump that Canada can’t survive without US protection and trade was a terminally moronic mistake and Trump was right to say “Might as well be State 51 then.” It’s basic cold historical logic.
- I also do not think Europe will be abused nearly as much as Latin America, today’s America is a very different country than the one that abused Latin America. You have too many White Americans still and Latinos were much smaller then leading to less sympathy. It would cause a revolution. You’ll likely see the US become more like China if anything, both ancient and modern.
I've been following this Substack since November - I was born in AridoAmerica and I already believed in cyclical history along the lines of Spengler and Toynbee, so naturally your ideas about what kind of "high culture" is arising in my homeland are quite interesting. Keep it up!
I do find a bit more to disagree with in this post than your others, though. I think you are spot on about Europe post-1945 (and especially post-1989) having contented itself with being a sort of outpost of the United States, militarily weak and aping American culture. And yet I don't foresee this as being nearly as long-lasting of a state of affairs as it was in Latin America (where it ran from 1898 to the present.) The problem is that there are other people besides the US who want to dominate Europe - as in fact Russia is trying to do right now by invading Ukraine, and expansionist Middle Eastern or North African countries may soon do. And the US has shown that it is not actually up to committing the amount of military force that would be needed to keep these rivals out of a weak and mostly-demilitarized Europe.
I wrote an article at my own Substack a few months ago called "The Poland Paradox: How Faraway Allies Make Small Countries Less Safe."
https://twilightpatriot.substack.com/p/the-poland-paradox
The gist of it is that it's a bad idea for a small country, fearing conquest by a larger neighbor, to rely on an alliance with an big country that's a long ways away and only has a marginal interest in preventing the smaller country from getting conquered. (As Poland learned the hard way in 1939-45, and Ukraine is learning now, and Taiwan, South Korea, etc. may soon also learn.) Even if the large country acts for a while like it is very concerned with projecting its power (or defending its values or however you say it) there is just too big of a chance that it will balk when someone else challenges it for hegemony.
So United States dominance of Europe won't be nearly as long-lasting as US dominance of South America. The geography is just wrong - Europe will indeed be dominated, but it can't be America's sandbox because there are too many other rivals that also want to dominate it.